The Cavaliers sit as 2-point home favorites over the Warriors in Game 6 of the NBA Finals as they look to even the series at three games apiece Thursday night. The number is in line with what Cleveland laid at home in Games 3 and 4, as those numbers were about -1.5 and -2.5, respectively.

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The Cavs are trying to become the first team in NBA history to come back from a 3-1 series deficit to win the Finals.

The Game 6 total is around 207.5, and again, at this point of the series, there are no big surprises – nor is there much value to be found – in the number.

Golden State gets Draymond Green back from a one-game suspension, but center Andrew Bogut has been ruled out for the rest of the series with a knee injury. We’re not too concerned about Bogut’s absence from a handicapping perspective, as his minutes can be accounted for by Festus Ezeli, and more importantly, the Dubs are most effective when they go small with Green at center.

Too much went right for Cleveland in its 112-97 Game 5 win Monday night for us to believe we’re in for a repeat performance tonight: LeBron James and Kyrie Irving went for 41 points apiece, the first time two teammates have each scored 40 points in a game in the NBA Finals; the Warriors shot poorly, particularly star Stephen Curry; Green didn’t even play.

No one responds to adversity better than the Warriors. They are 14-1 straight up and 11-4 against the spread after a loss this season. They are also 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS after being held to under 100 points the previous game.

Now, we can’t suggest Golden State has some sort of emotional edge over Cleveland tonight. The Cavs know the situation they’re in and will bring everything they have. But Game 6 presents bettors the opportunity to take the better team plus a couple of points.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers Game 6 pick

Feel free, avid reader, to call us out for going against our series pick, but we’re on Golden State +2 tonight. It’s time for the best team in the league to close this thing out.