Here are betting lines, trends and more insight for a trio of games on the NFL’s Week 6 card. For our expert picks, sign up here. All our packages come with a money-back guarantee.
Green Bay Packers (-3, 45.5) at Minnesota Vikings
The wiseguys are on the Vikings this week, undeterred by news that quarterback Sam Bradford and wide receiver Stefon Diggs won’t play against their NFC North rivals. Braford’s absence was expected and thus already factored into the line, and only elite wide receivers influence the betting market. Besides, Case Keenum has been filling in admirably for Minnesota, and it’s the Vikes defense that drives the team.
This appears to be a potential let-down spot for the Packers, who won in Dallas last week on a last-minute drive led by Aaron Rodgers. Plus, betting against Green Bay as a road favorite paid of nicely last season, when the Pack went 1-4 ATS in the role.
The Vikes in this spot offer the classic handicapping play of the home team with the better defense getting points.
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 39)
The Bears are another underdog that has the interest of the sharp bettors this week, but if you share that sentiment, be aware of this compelling trend: under coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 9-0 SU at home against rookie quarterbacks, with 13 interceptions and 27 sacks (via R.J. Bell). The trip to Baltimore won’t be easy for Chicago rookie QB Mitch Trubisky.
The Ravens offense, after back-to-back duds, came back to life in Oakland last week in a 30-17 win. Still, we’re not sure we have the confidence in these guy to fire on them laying nearly a touchdown.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 47)
The Chiefs remain on absolute fire as the only NFL team that’s yet to lose a game this season. In fact, they are an astounding 27-4 SU over their last 31 games.
The Steelers, on the other hand, fell to 3-2 with their home loss the Jaguars last week. Ben Roethlisberger three five picks in that game, and the Jags prevailed despite their own quarterback, Blake Bortles, throwing for less than 100 yards.
Pittsburgh, though, is notorious for playing up or down to the level of its opponent, so expect a much better effort from Mike Tomlin’s men on Sunday.
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