Here are betting lines, trends and other insight for a trio of games on the NFL’s Week 4 card. For our expert picks, sign up here. All our packages come with a money-back guarantee.
Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, 48.5)
This line has dropped from an opener of 8.5, a clear indication that wiseguys are on the underdog Rams. The public loves betting on the Cowboys, so it’s certainly not money from casual bettors that’s moving the line.
The Rams are getting a lot of love since their 41-39 win over the 49ers last Thursday night, as football observers are starting to think their offense might be for real. While they’re stepping up in class this week, they get the Cowboys on short rest.
Dallas won at Arizona 28-17 on Monday night, but not a lot people were all that impressed – the game was tied 14-14 after three quarters, and for the game, the Cardinals held a 332-273 edge in yards and a 22-15 edge in first downs.
So we can understand the move on the Rams here, and if you’re on board with the dog, you may want to wait to get your bet in. Public money on the Cowboys is bound to come, and this line could get back to the key number ‘7’ or even higher.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5, 38.5) at New York Jets
Being made the underdog at home against the Jaguars is a clear sign of disrespect. But is the betting market exaggerating how bad the Jets are?
With the nearly-unprecedented odds Vegas assigned to the Jets ahead of the season, their ineptitude has most certainly been exaggerated, and sure enough, bettors were paid off last week, as Gang Green rolled to a 20-6 win as 6-point home dogs vs. the Dolphins.
Also, this is a particularly tricky spot for the Jags. The NFL used to give teams the week off after they traveled to London for a game. Not anymore. So Jacksonville is laying points on the road while still bleary eyed from its trip to Wembley, where it blew out Baltimore, 44-7.
Fade the Jets this week at your own peril.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-3, 46)
The betting market liked Denver at the opening line of -1.5, moving the number up to the key number 3.
Both teams were dealt setbacks in East Coast games last week – the Broncos falling at Buffalo, the Raiders going down in Washington – but expect their best for this nationally-televised rivalry game.
This AFC West showdown shapes up as the classic offense vs. defense match-up, a dynamic that typically favors the defense (Denver in this case).
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