It’s a great time to be a soccer bettor in the good ole’ USA, as our boys look to secure their place in the Copa America Centenario quarterfinals with a win or a draw against Paraguay on Saturday in Philadelphia, while Euro 2016 kicks off Friday and will occupy our mornings and afternoons for the next month. Yes, we’ll have soccer games to watch and wager on day and night for the next several weeks!
Let’s have a quick look at the USA’s final Group A game before we get into the Euros.
Oddsmakers offer the USA as about an even-money favorite against Paraguay on the three-way money line, with the South Americans priced at about +270 and the draw at +260. The Stars & Stripes are coming of a 4-0 win over Costa Rica and are in good position to advance to the knockout stages. Paraguay figures to be a tough out, though, and we’re not wild about an even-money proposition on the U.S. to win the game.
The draw, actually, makes sense to us from a wagering perspective, as better than 5/2 odds on that result offer some value. To the U.S, a draw or win probably won’t make a difference. With either result, Jurgen Klinsmann’s side will likely finish second to Colombia in Group A.
Euro 2016 odds and ends
A few notes and observations with Euro 2016 set to kick off Friday…
— It’s the usual suspects residing atop the futures oddsboard in Las Vegas. Germany, two years removed from winning the World Cup, shares top betting billing with host France, each side listed at 5/2. Then it’s Spain (5/1), England (6/1), Belgium (7/1), Italy (11/1) and Portugal (16/1).
— As host, France takes the customary spot in the opening game, listed as larger than a 3/1 favorite over Romania on Friday. A winning bet on the huge underdog Romanians pays off at better than 12/1, while a draw sits around 9/2.
— The best match of the opening set of games comes Monday, with Italy and Belgium – two of the aforementioned favorites – squaring off. The betting market gives the Belgians the slight edge, listing them as the +150 favorite, with the Azzurri priced at +220 and the draw +210. Belgium is offered at +110 to win Group E, while the notoriously slow-starting Italians are 8/5.
— England has been getting major love in the futures markets, as their opening odds of 9/1 have been shortened to 6/1. The Three Lions are -110 chalk against Russia in their opening match.
— Looking for a decent price on a group winner? How about Austria at 2/1 to win Group F? The Austrians have drawn some attention in the futures market, which gets our attention, and bettors tend to overvalue Portugal because of one Cristiano Ronaldo.
Here are each team’s odds to win Euro 2016, with opening prices listed in the column to the left.
|Team||Open odds||Current odds|
|REPUBLIC OF IRELAND||70/1||60/1|